Skip to main content
Zaviyebeta
ZV-SCNRECORD
← Signposts

The track record.

Every dated question the desk has put a likelihood on, scored — once it resolves — against both the editor’s own history and an honestly-computed historical base rate. Nothing here is published until there is enough resolved history to mean something.

Scoreboard

0 resolved forecasts — too few resolved to judge. Aggregate accuracy publishes at 20 resolved questions.

Calibration by band

No band has 5 resolved questions yet — too few resolved to judge, per band.

Ledger integrity

Every editor revision is hash-chained (§6.7) and re-verified nightly by scenario-engine.py verify-ledger. The verification run log (zaviye_scn_runs) is operator-only by design (no public RLS policy — §2) and is not readable from this page; a failed verification instead pages the desk directly by Telegram. A visible per-run status here would need a public view or column added in a future migration outside this work package’s file ownership.

Open (6)

Resolved (0)

None.

Void (6)